BizarroMath™ Sports Analysis System |
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Last Updated: 02:00 on Tuesday, January 2, 2024
Penn State 2023 Season Summary
National Average Data
| Category
| 2022 Raw
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Blended (Δ)
|
| Points Per Game (PPG) |
27.17 |
26.70 |
26.70 (+0.00) |
| Yards Per Game (YPG) |
386.24 |
379.93 |
379.93 (+0.00) |
| Yards Per Play (YPP) |
5.64 |
5.70 |
5.70 (+0.00) |
Penn State 2023 - Unit Statistics
Offense
| Category
| 2022 Raw
| 2022 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2023 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Scored per Game (PPG): |
35.83 |
40.38 (+4.55) |
34.82 |
40.06 (+5.24) |
40.06 (+0.00) |
| Yards Gained per Game (YPG): |
432.42 |
458.68 (+26.27) |
378.73 |
395.98 (+17.25) |
395.98 (+0.00) |
| Yards Gained per Play (YPP): |
6.06 |
6.41 (+0.34) |
5.52 |
5.95 (+0.44) |
5.95 (+0.00) |
Defense
| Category
| 2022 Raw
| 2022 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2023 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Yielded per Game (PPG): |
18.00 |
14.36 (-3.64) |
11.82 |
8.32 (-3.49) |
8.32 (+0.00) |
| Yards Yielded per Game (YPG): |
317.92 |
291.99 (-25.93) |
231.91 |
239.42 (+7.51) |
239.42 (+0.00) |
| Yards Yielded per Play (YPP): |
4.54 |
4.13 (-0.41) |
3.86 |
3.67 (-0.19) |
3.67 (+0.00) |
Intangibles
| Category
| Measure(s)
|
| Home Field Advantage
| +3.1 |
Schedule Analysis
| Date
| Opponent
| BizMa Points For
| BizMa Points Against
| BizMa Spread
| BizMa O/U
| BizMa Win %
| Real Outcome
| Team Record
|
| 2023-09-02 |
West Virginia |
41.04 |
11.68 |
-29.36 |
52.71 |
97.09% |
W 38-15 |
1-0 |
| 2023-09-09 |
Delaware |
Non-FBS Opponent |
W 63-7 |
2-0 |
| 2023-09-16 |
@Illinois |
42.37 |
11.38 |
-30.99 |
53.75 |
99.71% |
W 30-13 |
3-0 |
| 2023-09-23 |
Iowa |
22.72 |
4.43 |
-18.28 |
27.15 |
79.32% |
W 31-0 |
4-0 |
| 2023-09-30 |
@Northwestern |
37.12 |
11.24 |
-25.87 |
48.36 |
91.50% |
W 41-13 |
5-0 |
| 2023-10-14 |
UMass |
65.83 |
5.43 |
-60.41 |
71.26 |
99.90% |
W 63-0 |
6-0 |
| 2023-10-21 |
@Ohio State |
14.72 |
17.68 |
+2.97 |
32.40 |
45.24% |
L 12-20 |
6-1 |
| 2023-10-28 |
Indiana |
45.69 |
8.54 |
-37.15 |
54.23 |
99.90% |
W 33-24 |
7-1 |
| 2023-11-04 |
@Maryland |
35.77 |
15.40 |
-20.36 |
51.17 |
82.66% |
W 51-15 |
8-1 |
| 2023-11-11 |
Michigan |
21.81 |
18.42 |
-3.40 |
40.23 |
55.45% |
L 15-24 |
8-2 |
| 2023-11-18 |
Rutgers |
34.74 |
8.43 |
-26.32 |
43.17 |
92.21% |
W 27-6 |
9-2 |
| 2023-11-25 |
@Michigan State |
40.23 |
7.05 |
-33.19 |
47.28 |
99.90% |
W 42-0 |
10-2 |
| Postseason |
|---|
| 2023-12-30 |
Ole Miss |
34.63 |
13.09 |
-21.54 |
47.71 |
84.55% |
L 25-38 |
10-3 |
Season Analysis
| Record
| Probability
| Ceiling
| Floor
|
| 10-3 |
100.00% |
0.00% |
100.00% |
Expected Wins Analysis
| Record
| Probability
|
| 6-7 |
0.00% |
| 7-6 |
0.05% |
| 8-5 |
0.62% |
| 9-4 |
4.43% |
| 10-3 |
16.62% |
| 11-2 |
34.27% |
| 12-1 |
32.68% |
| 13-0 |
11.33% |
Post-Season Analysis
Big 10 Post-Season Analysis